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Analysis of Craps Strategy

The best strategy for craps is combining Pass Line or Don't Pass with Odds Bet. The craps rules of Microgaming software for Internet casino allow bet on Odds maximum the same to Pass or Don't Pass Line bet size. According to these rules, the basic statistics for strategy are :

Pass Line
Pass Line +Odds
Don't Pass
Don't Pass +Odds
 Win Probability,%
49.2929
49.2929
47.9293
47.9293
 Tie Probability,%
-
-
02.7778
02.7778
 Loss Probability,%
50.7071
50.7071
49.2929
49.2929
 Average Bet
1
5/3
1
5/3
 Player Edge,units
-0.0141
-0.0141
-0.0136
-0.0136
 Player Edge,%
-1.4141
-0.8485
-1.3636
-0.8182
 Std Deviance,units
0.9999
1.8930
0.9859
1.5868
 Std Deviance,%
99.9900
113.5830
98.5919
95.2060

Indexes for single Pass Line and Don't Pass are in table for comparing with indexes for combined bets.

The next figure shows the distribution of net results after 300 rounds. One round means the game interval from Come Out Roll to roll where bet result is determinated. The initial bet size is 30 units for convenience sake (all payoffs are natural numbers in this case).

Net results distribution after 300 rounds
 
  Don't Pass + Odds
  Pass Line + Odds

The progress of net win probability up to 3000 rounds is showing on the following figure. The values of probability to have a positive game result after 3000 rounds are : 31.87% for Don't Pass+Odds and 34.10% for Pass Line+Odds.

Progress of Net Win Probability
 
  Don't Pass + Odds
  Pass Line + Odds

 


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